![]() That doesn’t sound like real-life Hader - he doesn’t enter in nearly so many games when the Brewers are trailing. In other words, he’s performed at his worst in situations where he was a stopgap, the last line of defense, where he needs to be absolutely lights out to even give the team a chance. He allowed five runs in an 11-run blowout on Opening Day, three runs to turn a 2-0 defeat into a 5-0 pasting in San Diego, and another six in games the Brewers lost by four or more runs. Well, he’s basically done it via excellent timing. How does that work? He’s allowed 20 runs in 32 innings, after all. In WPA terms, in fact, he’s essentially repeating his 20 seasons. Win probability added measures how much a given player has changed your team’s win probability, in sum, in all of their pitching appearances this year - so from that sense, Hader has been a huge boon. His 1.3 WPA ranks seventh among all relievers, within shouting distance of Alex Colomé’s league-leading 1.8. In fact, we might as well put it up to a poll:Īt the same time, Hader is having an excellent season. This means we can take aim at someone closer to free agency, or even stretch a little for a short-term free agent this winter, without breaking the budget. Our 2021-2023 budgets are hardly affected by his salaries. ![]() It’s not quite the Ozzie Albies deal (thankfully, because that one feels icky), but it’s a bargain nonetheless.Īs an added bonus, the structure of Hiura’s deal means we have room to offer a shorter extension to someone else. This certainly qualifies, and could easily be more than that - if Hiura reaches the potential our scouts see, he’ll be a top-three second baseman for years to come. Yelich provides star-level production at a market rate, which means our job is to find complementary pieces for cheap to make the whole package work. This deal is the perfect way to continue building a team around Christian Yelich. The financial certainty for Hiura (up to $50 million but at least $25 million) shouldn’t be overlooked, but make no mistake, this is a great deal for the team it’s likely to produce cost savings even without the two team options, both of which are attractively priced (they’ll be for his age-29 and age-30 seasons). Given that Hiura will likely qualify for Super Two status, that’s one year at the minimum and four years of arbitration we’re replacing. Note: 20 team options each carry a $1.3 million buyout.Ī $1.3 million buyout on the 2026 team option brings the average annual value of the first five years to $5.4 million. OOTP contracts can look alien, because the game’s contract logic is governed by its own set of rules rather than the ones that major league teams adhere to, but this contract looks both like a real-world deal and an excellent one for the team: Not far behind, however, is the extension Keston Hiura signed on Saturday after we decided to offer him a deal last week. The best thing that has happened to the Brewers so far this year is that we’re in first place in late June. In keeping with that between-events ambience, today I’m going to cover a few topics I find interesting but that aren’t of crucial, immediate import to the team. It’s late June - too early for the All-Star Game or the trade deadline, too late for the new-car smell of April and May performances. In fact, while in real life baseball is at a point of extreme uncertainty, the OOTP season is currently in a lull. There’s no virus keeping stadium doors closed, no season schedule to work out. In the simulated reality of Out Of The Park Baseball, the season is chugging along normally.
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